Faculty Profiles - SHIUE Carol Hua | The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Carol Hua SHIUE

PhD in Economics
Yale University, 1999

Visiting Professor
Department of Economics

Director of Center for Economic Growth

(852) 2358 7627
shiue@ust.hk
Room LSK6075
Personal Web

Google Scholar

IyXvg2EAAAAJ

ORCID

0000-0003-1890-318X

ResearcherID

GBW-9902-2022

Scopus ID

7005725584

Research Interest Publications Teaching Assignment

Research Interest

Economic history
Economic development

Publications

All Years 29 2026 1 2025 1 2024 1 2023 0 2022 1 2021 2 2020 23

2026 1

Mining Chinese historical sources at scale: A machine learning approach to Qing state capacity

Historical Methods, v. 59, (2), p. 75-99
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.; Yan, Sen
Article

2025 1

Social Mobility in the Long Run: An Analysis of Tongcheng, China, 1300 to 1900

Journal of Economic History, v. 85, (2), p. 370-410
SHiue, Carol H.
Article

2024 1

Endogenous formation of free trade agreements: Evidence from the Zollverein's impact on market integration

Journal of Economic History, v. 74, (4), p. 1168-1204
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2022 1

Foreign Trade and Investment

1800 to the Present / Cambridge University Press, 2022, p. 414-456
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Book chapter

2021 2

Capital Markets in China and Britain, 1770–1860: Evidence from Grain Prices†

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, v. 13, (3), p. 31-64
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.; Wang, Xin
Article

International Transactions: Real Trade and Factor Flows

The Cambridge Economic History of the Modern World / Cambridge University Press, 2021, p. 412-437
Keller, Wolfgang; Lampe, Markus; Shiue, Carol
Book chapter

2020 2

Capital markets and grain prices: assessing the storage cost approach

Cliometrica, v. 14, (2), p. 367-396
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.; Wang, Xin
Article

Market integration and institutional change

Review of World Economics, v. 156, (2), p. 251-285
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2017 3

China's domestic trade during the Treaty-Port Era

Explorations in Economic History, v. 63, p. 26-43
KELLER, Wolfgang; Andres Santiago, Javier; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Human capital and fertility in Chinese clans before modern growth

Journal of Economic Growth, v. 22, (4), p. 351-396
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Rice: Global Networks and New Histories

Journal of Economic History, v. 77, (2), p. 647-649
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2016 1

A culture of kinship: Chinese genealogies as a source for research in demographic economics

Journal of Demographic Economics, v. 82, (4), p. 459-482
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2014 1

The organization and scope of grain markets in Qing China, 1644–1911

A History of Market Performance / edited by Van der Spek R.J.; van Zanden Jan Luiten; van Leeuwen Bas. Routledge, 2014,
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Book chapter

2013 2

Shanghai’s trade, China’s growth: Continuity, recovery, and change since the opium wars

IMF Economic Review, v. 61, (2), p. 336-378
KELLER, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

The Marketing System in Pre-Modern China

Oxford Bibliographies in Chinese Studies
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2012 1

The Evolution of Domestic Trade Flows When Foreign Trade Is Liberalized: Evidence from the Chinese Maritime Customs Service

Institutions and Comparative Economic Development / Springer, 2012, p. 152-172
KELLER, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; SHIUE, Carol Hua
Book chapter

2011 1

China’s Foreign Trade: Perspectives From the Past 150 Years

World Economy, v. 34, (6), p. 853-892
Keller, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2010 1

The Price of Rice: Market Integration in Eighteenth-Century China

Journal of Economic History, v. 70, (2)
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2007 4

Comments on Abramitzky, Chaudhary, and Musacchio

Journal of Economic History, v. 67, (2), p. 511-515
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Market integration and economic development: A long-run comparison

Review of Development Economics, v. 11, (1), p. 107-123
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Markets in China and Europe on the eve of the industrial revolution

American Economic Review, v. 97, (4), p. 1189-1216
Shiue, Carol H.; Keller, Wolfgang
Article

The origin of spatial interaction

Journal of Econometrics, v. 140, (1), p. 304-332
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2006 1

The Merchants of Zigong: Industrial Entrepreneurship in Early Modern China

Journal of Economic History, v. 66, (4)
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2005 2

From political fragmentation towards a customs union: Border effects of the German Zollverein, 1815 to 1855

European Review of Economic History, v. 9, (2), p. 129-162
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

The political economy of famine relief in China, 1740-1820

Journal of Interdisciplinary History, v. 36, (1), p. 33-55
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2004 1

Local granaries and central government disaster relief: Moral hazard and intergovernmental finance in eighteenth- and nineteenth-century China

Journal of Economic History, v. 64, (1), p. 100-124
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2002 1

Transport costs and the geography of arbitrage in eighteenth-century China

American Economic Review, v. 92, (5), p. 1406-1419
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2000 2

Comparing the correlation length of grain markets in China and France

International Journal of Modern Physics C, v. 11, (7), p. 1383-1410
Roehner, Bertrand M.; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Grain Trade and Storeage in Late Imperial China

Journal of Economic History, v. 60, (2), p. 511-515
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

Article 1

Mining Chinese historical sources at scale: A machine learning approach to Qing state capacity

Historical Methods, v. 59, (2), p. 75-99
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.; Yan, Sen

Article 1

Social Mobility in the Long Run: An Analysis of Tongcheng, China, 1300 to 1900

Journal of Economic History, v. 85, (2), p. 370-410
SHiue, Carol H.

Article 1

Endogenous formation of free trade agreements: Evidence from the Zollverein's impact on market integration

Journal of Economic History, v. 74, (4), p. 1168-1204
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.

Book chapter 1

Foreign Trade and Investment

1800 to the Present / Cambridge University Press, 2022, p. 414-456
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.

Article 1

Capital Markets in China and Britain, 1770–1860: Evidence from Grain Prices†

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, v. 13, (3), p. 31-64
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.; Wang, Xin

Book chapter 1

International Transactions: Real Trade and Factor Flows

The Cambridge Economic History of the Modern World / Cambridge University Press, 2021, p. 412-437
Keller, Wolfgang; Lampe, Markus; Shiue, Carol

Article 2

Capital markets and grain prices: assessing the storage cost approach

Cliometrica, v. 14, (2), p. 367-396
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.; Wang, Xin

Market integration and institutional change

Review of World Economics, v. 156, (2), p. 251-285
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.

Article 3

China's domestic trade during the Treaty-Port Era

Explorations in Economic History, v. 63, p. 26-43
KELLER, Wolfgang; Andres Santiago, Javier; Shiue, Carol H.

Human capital and fertility in Chinese clans before modern growth

Journal of Economic Growth, v. 22, (4), p. 351-396
Shiue, Carol H.

Rice: Global Networks and New Histories

Journal of Economic History, v. 77, (2), p. 647-649
SHIUE, Carol Hua

Article 1

A culture of kinship: Chinese genealogies as a source for research in demographic economics

Journal of Demographic Economics, v. 82, (4), p. 459-482
Shiue, Carol H.

Book chapter 1

The organization and scope of grain markets in Qing China, 1644–1911

A History of Market Performance / edited by Van der Spek R.J.; van Zanden Jan Luiten; van Leeuwen Bas. Routledge, 2014,
SHIUE, Carol Hua

Article 2

Shanghai’s trade, China’s growth: Continuity, recovery, and change since the opium wars

IMF Economic Review, v. 61, (2), p. 336-378
KELLER, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; SHIUE, Carol Hua

The Marketing System in Pre-Modern China

Oxford Bibliographies in Chinese Studies
SHIUE, Carol Hua

Book chapter 1

The Evolution of Domestic Trade Flows When Foreign Trade Is Liberalized: Evidence from the Chinese Maritime Customs Service

Institutions and Comparative Economic Development / Springer, 2012, p. 152-172
KELLER, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; SHIUE, Carol Hua

Article 1

China’s Foreign Trade: Perspectives From the Past 150 Years

World Economy, v. 34, (6), p. 853-892
Keller, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; Shiue, Carol H.

Article 1

The Price of Rice: Market Integration in Eighteenth-Century China

Journal of Economic History, v. 70, (2)
SHIUE, Carol Hua

Article 4

Comments on Abramitzky, Chaudhary, and Musacchio

Journal of Economic History, v. 67, (2), p. 511-515
Shiue, Carol H.

Market integration and economic development: A long-run comparison

Review of Development Economics, v. 11, (1), p. 107-123
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.

Markets in China and Europe on the eve of the industrial revolution

American Economic Review, v. 97, (4), p. 1189-1216
Shiue, Carol H.; Keller, Wolfgang

The origin of spatial interaction

Journal of Econometrics, v. 140, (1), p. 304-332
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.

Article 1

The Merchants of Zigong: Industrial Entrepreneurship in Early Modern China

Journal of Economic History, v. 66, (4)
SHIUE, Carol Hua

Article 2

From political fragmentation towards a customs union: Border effects of the German Zollverein, 1815 to 1855

European Review of Economic History, v. 9, (2), p. 129-162
Shiue, Carol H.

The political economy of famine relief in China, 1740-1820

Journal of Interdisciplinary History, v. 36, (1), p. 33-55
Shiue, Carol H.

Article 1

Local granaries and central government disaster relief: Moral hazard and intergovernmental finance in eighteenth- and nineteenth-century China

Journal of Economic History, v. 64, (1), p. 100-124
Shiue, Carol H.

Article 1

Transport costs and the geography of arbitrage in eighteenth-century China

American Economic Review, v. 92, (5), p. 1406-1419
Shiue, Carol H.

Article 2

Comparing the correlation length of grain markets in China and France

International Journal of Modern Physics C, v. 11, (7), p. 1383-1410
Roehner, Bertrand M.; Shiue, Carol H.

Grain Trade and Storeage in Late Imperial China

Journal of Economic History, v. 60, (2), p. 511-515
SHIUE, Carol Hua

2020 2

Capital markets and grain prices: assessing the storage cost approach

Cliometrica, v. 14, (2), p. 367-396
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.; Wang, Xin
Article

Market integration and institutional change

Review of World Economics, v. 156, (2), p. 251-285
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2017 3

China's domestic trade during the Treaty-Port Era

Explorations in Economic History, v. 63, p. 26-43
KELLER, Wolfgang; Andres Santiago, Javier; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Human capital and fertility in Chinese clans before modern growth

Journal of Economic Growth, v. 22, (4), p. 351-396
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Rice: Global Networks and New Histories

Journal of Economic History, v. 77, (2), p. 647-649
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2016 1

A culture of kinship: Chinese genealogies as a source for research in demographic economics

Journal of Demographic Economics, v. 82, (4), p. 459-482
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2014 1

The organization and scope of grain markets in Qing China, 1644–1911

A History of Market Performance / edited by Van der Spek R.J.; van Zanden Jan Luiten; van Leeuwen Bas. Routledge, 2014,
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Book chapter

2013 2

Shanghai’s trade, China’s growth: Continuity, recovery, and change since the opium wars

IMF Economic Review, v. 61, (2), p. 336-378
KELLER, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

The Marketing System in Pre-Modern China

Oxford Bibliographies in Chinese Studies
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2012 1

The Evolution of Domestic Trade Flows When Foreign Trade Is Liberalized: Evidence from the Chinese Maritime Customs Service

Institutions and Comparative Economic Development / Springer, 2012, p. 152-172
KELLER, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; SHIUE, Carol Hua
Book chapter

2011 1

China’s Foreign Trade: Perspectives From the Past 150 Years

World Economy, v. 34, (6), p. 853-892
Keller, Wolfgang; Li, Ben; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2010 1

The Price of Rice: Market Integration in Eighteenth-Century China

Journal of Economic History, v. 70, (2)
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2007 4

Comments on Abramitzky, Chaudhary, and Musacchio

Journal of Economic History, v. 67, (2), p. 511-515
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Market integration and economic development: A long-run comparison

Review of Development Economics, v. 11, (1), p. 107-123
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Markets in China and Europe on the eve of the industrial revolution

American Economic Review, v. 97, (4), p. 1189-1216
Shiue, Carol H.; Keller, Wolfgang
Article

The origin of spatial interaction

Journal of Econometrics, v. 140, (1), p. 304-332
Keller, Wolfgang; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2006 1

The Merchants of Zigong: Industrial Entrepreneurship in Early Modern China

Journal of Economic History, v. 66, (4)
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

2005 2

From political fragmentation towards a customs union: Border effects of the German Zollverein, 1815 to 1855

European Review of Economic History, v. 9, (2), p. 129-162
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

The political economy of famine relief in China, 1740-1820

Journal of Interdisciplinary History, v. 36, (1), p. 33-55
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2004 1

Local granaries and central government disaster relief: Moral hazard and intergovernmental finance in eighteenth- and nineteenth-century China

Journal of Economic History, v. 64, (1), p. 100-124
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2002 1

Transport costs and the geography of arbitrage in eighteenth-century China

American Economic Review, v. 92, (5), p. 1406-1419
Shiue, Carol H.
Article

2000 2

Comparing the correlation length of grain markets in China and France

International Journal of Modern Physics C, v. 11, (7), p. 1383-1410
Roehner, Bertrand M.; Shiue, Carol H.
Article

Grain Trade and Storeage in Late Imperial China

Journal of Economic History, v. 60, (2), p. 511-515
SHIUE, Carol Hua
Article

No Publications

Teaching Assignment

2025-26 Spring 2 2025-26 Winter 0 2025-26 Fall 0 2024-25 Summer 0 2024-25 Spring 0 2024-25 Winter 0

ECON4434	Economic Development and Growth
ECON6121C	Long-Run Economic Growth

No Teaching Assignments

Research Interest

Publications

2026 1

2025 1

2024 1

2022 1

2021 2

2020 2

2017 3

2016 1

2014 1

2013 2

2012 1

2011 1

2010 1

2007 4

2006 1

2005 2

2004 1

2002 1

2000 2

Article 1

Article 1

Article 1

Book chapter 1

Article 1

Book chapter 1

Article 2

Article 3

Article 1

Book chapter 1

Article 2

Book chapter 1

Article 1

Article 1

Article 4

Article 1

Article 2

Article 1

Article 1

Article 2

2020 2

2017 3

2016 1

2014 1

2013 2

2012 1

2011 1

2010 1

2007 4

2006 1

2005 2

2004 1

2002 1

2000 2

Teaching Assignment

Projects

From January 2024 to December 2026

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